Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032020 0.037006 0.042526 0.049093 0.056697 0.065231 0.075541
2026-02-01 0.023325 0.029628 0.037297 0.047329 0.060127 0.075936 0.096997
2026-02-08 0.018641 0.025460 0.034383 0.046941 0.064208 0.087190 0.120231
2026-02-15 0.015461 0.022408 0.032056 0.046475 0.067564 0.097414 0.143122
2026-02-22 0.013486 0.020570 0.030926 0.047230 0.072384 0.109940 0.170693
2026-03-01 0.011725 0.018709 0.029394 0.047009 0.075507 0.120127 0.195925
2026-03-08 0.010100 0.016786 0.027442 0.045755 0.076683 0.127241 0.217032
2026-03-15 0.008757 0.015109 0.025619 0.044387 0.077365 0.133458 0.237264
2026-03-22 0.008004 0.014303 0.025103 0.045101 0.081580 0.146009 0.269989
2026-03-29 0.007284 0.013453 0.024385 0.045328 0.084900 0.157308 0.301862
2026-04-05 0.006642 0.012655 0.023650 0.045399 0.087889 0.168287 0.334497
2026-04-12 0.006144 0.012059 0.023202 0.045934 0.091779 0.181363 0.372874
2026-04-19 0.005758 0.011641 0.023060 0.047080 0.097096 0.198030 0.421188
2026-04-26 0.005133 0.010671 0.021729 0.045674 0.097063 0.203984 0.448048
2026-05-03 0.004695 0.010030 0.020977 0.045363 0.099264 0.214799 0.486888
2026-05-10 0.004297 0.009421 0.020216 0.044928 0.101118 0.225069 0.525902
2026-05-17 0.004042 0.009090 0.020004 0.045661 0.105643 0.241737 0.581959
2026-05-24 0.003736 0.008610 0.019408 0.045448 0.107966 0.253689 0.628468
2026-05-31 0.003389 0.007993 0.018435 0.044236 0.107775 0.259747 0.661363
2026-06-07 0.003071 0.007407 0.017467 0.042915 0.107145 0.264660 0.692049
2026-06-14 0.002914 0.007187 0.017331 0.043604 0.111582 0.282542 0.758924
2026-06-21 0.002741 0.006909 0.017022 0.043824 0.114851 0.297893 0.821278
2026-06-28 0.002574 0.006627 0.016672 0.043893 0.117736 0.312615 0.884059